Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 31.937181 36.361002 41.201519 46.895338 53.415314 60.654810 69.312247
2024-12-29 26.940304 32.993151 40.131979 49.189879 60.402328 73.859678 91.287514
2025-01-05 22.498476 29.408838 38.125449 49.967158 65.699005 85.970227 114.217146
2025-01-12 18.374113 25.501444 35.066404 48.910987 68.557211 95.615939 136.020907
2025-01-19 15.380928 22.577239 32.811989 48.537977 72.291928 107.149819 162.766337
2025-01-26 13.597700 21.053873 32.262678 50.502212 79.763774 125.426519 203.147310
2025-02-02 12.244140 19.941346 32.138003 53.102328 88.735964 147.736026 254.651623
2025-02-09 10.766378 18.380120 31.052256 53.982319 95.138139 167.211579 305.845567
2025-02-16 9.228905 16.458171 29.052294 52.960359 98.117250 181.481304 351.141106
2025-02-23 7.986141 14.841048 27.310041 52.084032 101.210035 196.602150 401.580584
2025-03-02 6.979980 13.487682 25.820533 51.411831 104.577499 212.948289 458.354174
2025-03-09 6.271017 12.582718 25.027568 51.962848 110.516270 235.667653 534.052805
2025-03-16 5.576768 11.616762 24.005545 51.974305 115.606332 258.272773 616.628884
2025-03-23 5.150728 11.134942 23.900052 53.955367 125.520218 293.861405 739.553108
2025-03-30 4.649018 10.406156 23.147540 54.359666 131.950938 322.979074 854.773871
2025-04-06 4.081837 9.435946 21.697428 52.863541 133.523839 340.780050 945.693773
2025-04-13 3.648593 8.702434 20.667310 52.194514 137.067971 364.494463 1059.959153
2025-04-20 3.417269 8.413824 20.649869 54.098899 147.853335 410.144458 1251.759205
2025-04-27 3.242940 8.237141 20.880215 56.716458 161.247521 466.458470 1493.856438
2025-05-04 2.997343 7.836771 20.472400 57.519143 169.691758 510.633828 1711.380721
2025-05-11 2.694079 7.233826 19.429237 56.320185 171.953568 536.781206 1877.016535
2025-05-18 2.434519 6.707497 18.507509 55.303634 174.597146 564.963750 2059.651733
2025-05-25 2.213606 6.253462 17.713433 54.524720 177.872340 596.222011 2264.733662